LAGOS, Aug 17 – Nigeria’s headline consumer inflation eased to 15.43% year-on-year in July from 15.91% in June, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday.
The moderation marks a decline in overall consumer price growth after inflationary pressures began strengthening in March, following fuel price increases linked to the conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran.
The renewed acceleration had interrupted an 11-month period of easing inflation in Africa’s most populous economy and prompted the Central Bank of Nigeria to adopt a more cautious approach to monetary policy. The central bank has since paused its cycle of interest-rate cuts, citing uncertainty associated with the conflict in the Middle East.
Despite the decline in headline inflation, food prices continued to move in the opposite direction. Food inflation, which represents a significant share of Nigeria’s consumer price basket, accelerated to 20.31% in July from 17.52% in June, according to the statistics office.
The divergence between headline and food inflation highlights the uneven nature of Nigeria’s price pressures. While the broader inflation rate moderated, the faster increase in food costs continues to place pressure on household purchasing power and living standards.
For monetary policymakers, the latest figures present a mixed picture. The decline in headline inflation provides some evidence that broader price pressures may be easing, but the sharp acceleration in food inflation could complicate decisions over the timing of further interest-rate reductions.
The central bank’s response will therefore remain closely tied to the durability of the inflation slowdown, developments in domestic fuel prices and the wider impact of geopolitical tensions on energy and food costs.