South Africa Business Confidence Index Falls to 131.4 but Remains at Strong Levels

South Africa

JOHANNESBURG, Feb 17 – South Africa’s business confidence declined modestly in January, though overall sentiment remains elevated following a strong rebound in economic outlook and private sector expectations over the past year.

Data released by the South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry showed its Business Confidence Index fell to 131.4 in January from 133.2 in December. Despite the monthly decline, the index continues to signal robust optimism across the country’s business environment.

The slight pullback was attributed primarily to weaker performance in manufacturing output, merchandise exports, and vehicle sales, which weighed on short-term sentiment. These sectors remain closely linked to both domestic demand and global economic conditions, making them sensitive to fluctuations in trade and industrial activity.

However, the broader trend remains strongly positive. The index averaged 121.7 throughout 2025, marking its highest annual level since 2013 and highlighting a sustained recovery in business sentiment. The sharp improvement reflects growing confidence in economic reforms, stabilizing infrastructure performance, and improving operational conditions for businesses.

The chamber noted that elevated confidence levels present a critical opportunity for policymakers and the private sector to translate improved sentiment into concrete investment, expansion, and job creation.

Attention is now turning to the government’s upcoming national budget, which is expected to play a pivotal role in reinforcing economic stability and strengthening investor confidence. Fiscal policy clarity, infrastructure investment, and continued reform momentum will be key determinants of whether current optimism translates into sustained economic growth.

The resilience of business confidence suggests that Africa’s most industrialized economy is gradually rebuilding momentum, with improving sentiment providing a foundation for increased private sector activity and long-term economic recovery.